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About Realstockvalue

The objective of realstockvalue.com is to find undervalued stocks of great businesses by calculating the real value of stocks listed on exchanges all around the world. We calculate the real value using a complex mathematical formula based on long-term value investing principles to calculate the Net Present Value of estimate future cash flows. We use the following criteria to estimate future cash flows:
- High sustainable profitability
- High return on assets and equity
- Proven growth potential
- Stable Cash Flows (high geometrical mean of expected returns)
- Strong balance sheet/buying power
- Low capital requirements
- Global player (potential)
- Low price/earnings
- Pricing power
- Sustainable competitive advantage
- Strong brand(s)
- (Integrated) value chain
- Unique value proposition
- Strong market position
- Strong Management
- Competitive Position
- Business Risks
- Currency and Country Risks

We use a risk based discount rate, which is based on our assessment of the risk of the stock. The higher the risk of the stock the higher the discount rate. We use the following principles to determine the discount rate:
- Stability of demand
- Competitive position
- profitability
- risk of new entrants
- risk of substitues
- number of customers
- market power
- Balance sheet strength
Our calculations are based on the value investment strategies of famous value investors like:
Warren Buffet
Benjamin Graham
David Dreman
Joel Greenblatt

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RSVX :-40892 -140%

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Great Investment Books

The Intelligent Investor - Benjamin Graham
The Little Book That Beats the Market - Joel Greenblatt
The Warren Buffett Way
Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies
Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond


 Graco

Description of the Business

Graco is market leader in fluid handling systems and components. They market their products worldwide and their products are sold in 30000 shops worldwide. They are specialist in spray finishing paint circulation and lubrication.

Analysis of Competitors

The main competitors of Graco are: - Colfax Corporation (weak margins, no paint circulation systems/lubrication)
- Flowserver Corporation (strong margins, no paint circulation systems/lubrication)
- Gorman-Rupp Company (Average margins, smaller competitor and no paint circulation systems/lubrication)
- Idex corporation (average margins, no paint circulation systems)

Competitive Advantages

Graco is market leader in the niche fluid handling of lubrication. They have a strong competitive position and strong margins.

Financial Analysis

They have very strong margins including a ROE of more than 50% and a ROA of more than 20%. Their profit margin is about 15%. They generate high levels of free cash flow. They have long term debt that is equal to their annual operational cash flow.

Risks

Their main risk is that competitors are able to produce equipment with better quality against lower costs. Also a risk is that large retail chains stop selling graco equipment.

Valuation Calculation

Their future cash flow value is $28. Their strong competitive position and high ROE provides another $12.

The total value of Graco is $40 a share.




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