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About Realstockvalue

The objective of realstockvalue.com is to find undervalued stocks of great businesses by calculating the real value of stocks listed on exchanges all around the world. We calculate the real value using a complex mathematical formula based on long-term value investing principles to calculate the Net Present Value of estimate future cash flows. We use the following criteria to estimate future cash flows:
- High sustainable profitability
- High return on assets and equity
- Proven growth potential
- Stable Cash Flows (high geometrical mean of expected returns)
- Strong balance sheet/buying power
- Low capital requirements
- Global player (potential)
- Low price/earnings
- Pricing power
- Sustainable competitive advantage
- Strong brand(s)
- (Integrated) value chain
- Unique value proposition
- Strong market position
- Strong Management
- Competitive Position
- Business Risks
- Currency and Country Risks

We use a risk based discount rate, which is based on our assessment of the risk of the stock. The higher the risk of the stock the higher the discount rate. We use the following principles to determine the discount rate:
- Stability of demand
- Competitive position
- profitability
- risk of new entrants
- risk of substitues
- number of customers
- market power
- Balance sheet strength
Our calculations are based on the value investment strategies of famous value investors like:
Warren Buffet
Benjamin Graham
David Dreman
Joel Greenblatt

Click here to read a presentation explaining our complete valuation approach in more detail!!


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RSVX :-40892 -140%

The RSVX is our stock portfolio. We started the portfolio on January 2010 and we will measure the performance against the S & P 500. Click here to read more about the RSVX and the underlying stocks.

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Great Investment Books

The Intelligent Investor - Benjamin Graham
The Little Book That Beats the Market - Joel Greenblatt
The Warren Buffett Way
Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies
Value Investing: From Graham to Buffett and Beyond


 Why Bank Of America?

Description of the Business

Bank Of America is a diversified financial services company. Its main market is the USA.

Analysis of Competitors

The main competitors of BAC are: - JP Morgan
- Wells Fargo
- Citigroup
- US Bancorp
- Many local smaller banks like Fifth Third Bancorp, Hudson City Bancorp - Investment banks like Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Deutsche Bank, Credit Suisse In the banking sector there is intense competition and it is difficult to differentiate. However there are significant barriers of entry and switching costs are high. In our opinion the banking industry is an oligopoly with the possibility for limited collusion, because of the high switching cost and brand reputation.

Competitive Advantages

As a financial organization it is difficult to differentiate from competitors. Banks are competing on price and services. A very important critical success factor is risk management. A bank can achieve lower prices (lower interest rates on loans) compared to competitors by having lower funding costs for example because of deposits or high credit ratings. Another important differentiator is the perceived trust customers have in a bank. The big banks have a competitive advantage compared to smaller local players, as they have the resources to provide big loans to big corporations. Based on our assessment we think that BAC is one of the major players in the US banking sector. Their size provides opportunites for economies of scale.

Financial Analysis

BAC funds a large part of their loans with low cost deposits, which is a competitive advantage. BAC paid back TARP money and their ratio's are adequate.

Risks

The main risks are: - credit losses, which could even lead to the need to raise additional capital - reputational risk, which could lead to reduced amounts of low cost deposits or even a bank run - liquidity risk, unaible to fund short-term liquidity needs because of frozen capital markets or in case of a bank run However we conclude in the short term that BAC has a average risk rating and we will use as discount rate 11%.